Trump Market Euphoria Impacts Precious Metals Demand: Plummets In West, Surges In East

Steve St. Angelo Steve St. Angelo

Steve St. Angelo

March 21st, 2017 Comments

With the Trump euphoria pushing the broader markets to new all-time highs, it has impacted precious metals demand considerably… especially in February. Precious metals investors believing the White House's “Grandiose plans”, of making America great again, have cut back seriously on their precious metals buying.

There seems to be a percentage of the alternative community that is convinced that Trump will put the U.S. back to the way it was in the 1960s. And that is, back to a manufacturing powerhouse with high-paying jobs. While this would be a wonderful thing to do, the continued disintegration of the global oil industry, just won’t allow it to happen.

IT WAS A ONE-TIME DEAL, and that period has come and gone... FOREVER

Regardless, Western demand for precious metals declined considerably in February versus the same month last year. A few years ago I spent more time publishing articles on gold and silver demand, but have refocused my analysis on how energy will impact precious metals, mining, and the overall economy.

As I stated above, the Trump market euphoria has taken the wind out of precious metals investors recently. According to the data from and the U.S. Mint, sales of gold and silver have plummeted in the West (especially the USA), but surged in the East:

East vs. West: Precious Metals Demand Feb 2017

Shanghai Gold Exchange

Withdrawals surged 67% in February versus the same month last year, while Perth Mint silver sales declined 17%, Perth Mint Gold sales dropped 32%, U.S. Gold Eagles fell 67% (American Gold Eagle price) and Silver Eagle sales plummeted 75%.

Shanghai Gold Exchange February Withdrawals 2008-2017

Chinese Shanghai Gold Exchange withdrawals were 179 metric tons (mt) in February compared to 107 in the same month last year. Gold withdrawals from the Shanghai Gold Exchange are a pretty good proxy for the physical metal demand taking place in China. We must remember, the global monthly gold mine supply is approximately 265 mt. This means the Shanghai Gold Exchange withdrawals of 179 mt accounted for two-thirds of the global gold monthly mine supply. That’s a heck of a lot of demand… from just one country.

The decline in U.S. Gold Eagle and Perth Mint gold coin sales in February versus last year equaled 67,806 oz. However, Shanghai Gold Exchange withdrawals increased by 2,315,000 oz in February compared to the same month last year. So, we can see that the increase in just Chinese demand, via the Shanghai Gold Exchange withdrawals, more than made up for the decline in Western retail official cold coin purchases.

Unfortunately, the Royal Canadian Mint does not publish its Gold or Canadian Maple Leaf Silver sales until after the end of each quarter. That being said, Canadian Gold and Silver Maple Leaf sales normally parallel what is taking place in U.S. Eagle sales. Thus, Gold & Silver Maple Leaf sales are probably down significantly as well.

I would imagine most precious metals investors came across this article published on Zerohedge a few days ago, Demand For Physical Gold Is Collapsing. It seems as if the intent of this article was to generate a lot of READS. Because, if we look at what is taking place in China, there is no collapse in physical gold buying. Matter-a-fact, there was a record amount of gold withdrawn from the Shanghai Gold Exchange last month.

The author of that article, needed to include a footnote stating the following:

Western physical precious metal demand (especially in the USA) decreased significantly due to the Trump Market Euphoria, while Shanghai Gold Exchange withdrawals hit a new record in February as the Chinese realize the U.S. economy and Dollar is still toast.

I am completely dumbfounded by the recent decline in precious metals demand and sentiment in the West. While I can understand the reason precious metals investors believe Trump will make America great again, the awful ENERGY DYNAMICS in the future will not allow us to return to the good ‘ole days of a manufacturing super-power. Rather, the upcoming collapse will change our lives forever.

When the Dow Jones Index and broader markets finally crack, there won’t be many SAFE HAVENS to invest in. Along with a collapse of the Dow Jones Index, Real Estate prices in all sectors will also head down the toilet. Investors scrambling for something to protect wealth will finally move into precious metals. Unfortunately, there won’t be the available supply… only at MUCH HIGHER PRICES.

So, this current downturn in Western physical gold and silver purchases does not faze me one bit. It only indicates that most Americans are completely insane when it comes to sound fundamental investing.

Steve St. Angelo

About the Author:

Independent researcher Steve St. Angelo started to invest in precious metals in 2002.  In 2008, he began researching areas of the gold and silver market that the majority of the precious metal analyst community has left unexplored.  These areas include how energy and the falling EROI – Energy Returned On Invested – stand to impact the mining industry, precious metals, paper assets, and the overall economy.